Dr Shayne McGregor
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Awards:
2022 Priestley Medal recipient

Published articles:
51. Perry, S.J., S. McGregor, A. Sen Gupta, M. H. England and N. Mayer (2020), Projected late 21st century changes to the regional impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 54, 395-412, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05006-6.

50. Zeller, M., S. McGregor and P. Spence (2019), Hemispheric assymetry of the Pacific shallow meridional overturning curculation, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124, https.//doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014840.

49. Choi, J.-Y., Y.-G. Ham and S. McGregor (2019): Atlantic-Pacific SST gradient change responsible for the weakening of North Tropical Atlantic-ENSO relationship due to global warming, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 7574-7582, doi: 10.1029/2019GL082804.

48. Cai, W., L. Wu, M. Lengaigne, T. Li, S. McGregor, J. S. Kug, J. Yu, M. Stuecker, A. Santoso, X. Li, Y. Ham, Y. Chikamoto, B. Ng, M. McPhaden, Y. Du, D. Dommenget, F. Jia, J. Kajtar, N. Keenlyside and X. Lin, et al. (2019), Pan-tropical climate interactions’, Science, pp. accepted 10/01/2019. (Full text)
 
47. Stuecker, M. F., C. M. Bitz, K. C. Armour, C. Proistosescu, S. M. Kang, S.-P. Xie, D. Kim, S. McGregor, W. Zhang, S. Zhao, W. Cai, Y. Dong, and F.-F. Jin (2018): Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0339-y. (Full text)
 
46. Santoso, A., H. Hendon, A. Watkins, S. Power, D. Dommenget, M. H. England, L. Frankcombe, R. Holmes, et al., 2018: Dynamics and predictability of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: An Australian perspective on progress and challenges. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/bams-d-18-0057.1. (Full text)
 
45. Timmermann, A., S. An, J. Kug, F. Jin, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, M. Lengaigne, M.J. McPhaden, M. Stuecker, K. Stein, A.T. Wittenberg, K. Yun, T. Bayr, H. Chen, Y. Chikamoto, B. Dewitte, D. Dommenget, P. Grothe and E. Guilyardi, et al. (2018), El Niño–
Southern Oscillation complexity, Nature, 559, 535–545, doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6.

44. Harris, R.M.B., L. J. Beaumont, T. R. Vance, C. R. Tozer, T. A. Remenyi, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P. J. Mitchell, A. B. Nicotra, S. McGregor, N. R. Andrew, M. Letnic, M. R. Kearney, T. Wernberg, L. B. Hutley, L. E. Chambers, M.-S. Fletcher, M. R. Keatley, C. A. Woodward, G. Williamson, N. C. Duke, D. M. J. S. Bowman, 2018: Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events, Nature Climate Change, 8, 579–587, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0187-9. (Full text)

43. McGregor, S., M. F. Stuecker, J. B. Kajtar, M. H. England and M. Collins, 2018: Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0163-4. (Full text)

42. Holmes R. M., S. McGregor, A. Santoso and M.H. England (2018) Contribution of Tropical Instability Waves to ENSO Irregularity, Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4217-0. (Abstract)

41. Neske, S. and S. McGregor, 2018: Understanding the Warm Water Volume precursor of ENSO events and its interdecadal variation, Geophysical Research Letters, 45, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076439. (Abstract)

40. Kajtar, J. B., A. Santoso, S. McGregor, M. H. England and Z. Baillie, 2018: Model under-representation of decadal Pacific trade wind trends and its link to tropical Atlantic bias, Climate dynamics, 50, 1471–1484, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3699-5. (Abstract)

39. Abellan, E., S. McGregor, M. H. England and A. Santoso, 2017: Distinctive role of ocean advection anomalies in the development of the extreme 2015-16 El Nino, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-4007-0. (Abstract)

38. Perry, S., S. McGregor, A. S. Sen Gupta and M. H. England, 2017: Future Changes to El Niño–Southern Oscillation Temperature and Precipitation Teleconnections. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi 10.1002/2017GL074509. (Abstract)

37. McGregor, S., A. Sen Gupta, D. Dommenget, T. Lee, M. J. McPhaden, and W. S. Kessler, 2017: Factors influencing the skill of synthesised satellite wind products in the tropical Pacific, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, 1072–1089, doi:10.1002/ 2016JC012340. (Abstract)

36. Abellán, E., S. McGregor and M. H. England, 2017: Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models, Journal of Climate, 30, 2415-2435, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0326.1. (Abstract)

35. Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, 2016: Reply to “Comments on combination Mode Dynamics of the anomalous North-West Pacific Anticyclone”, Journal of Climate, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0558.1. (Abstract)

34. Sen Gupta, A., S. McGregor, Erik van Sebille, Alexandre Ganachaud, Jaclyn Brown, Agus Santoso, 2016: Future changes to the Indonesian Throughflow and Pacific circulation: the differing role of wind and deep circulation changes, Geophysical Research Letters, 43,1669–1678, doi:10.1002/2016GL06775. (Abstract) (Full text)

33. Abellan, E., and S. McGregor, 2016: The role of the southward wind shift in both, the seasonal synchronization and duration of ENSO events, Climate Dynamics, 47: 509. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2853-1. (Abstract) (Full text)

32. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin and W. S. Kessler, 2016: Charging El Niño events with off-equatorial wind bursts, Climate Dynamics 47: 1111. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2891-8. (Abstract)

31. Taschetto, A. S., R. R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor and M. H. England, 2016: How sensitive are the Pacific-tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics, 46: 1841. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x. (Abstract) (Full text)

30. Bateup, R., S. McGregor and A. J. E. Gallant, 2015: The influence of non-stationary teleconnections on palaeoclimate reconstructions of ENSO variance using a pseudoproxy framework, Clim. Past, 11, 1733-1749, doi:10.5194/cp-11-1733-2015. (Abstract) (Full text)

29. Maher, N., S. McGregor, M. H. England and A. Sen Gupta, 2015: Effects of Volcanism on Tropical Variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 6024–6033, doi: 10.1002/2015GL064751. (Abstract) (Full text)

28. Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, 2015: Combination Mode Dynamics of the anomalous North-West Pacific Anticyclone, Journal of Climate, 28, 1093–1111, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00225.1. (Abstract) (Full text)

27. Frankcombe, L. M., S. McGregor and M. H. England, 2015: Robustness of the modes of Indo-Pacific sea level variability, Climate Dynamics, 45, 1281-1298, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2377-0. (Abstract)

26. Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor and M. H. England, 2015: Optimal forcing of ENSO either  side of the 1970’s climate shift and its implications for predictability, Climate Dynamics, 45, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2300-8. (Abstract)

25. McGregor, S., P. Spence, F. U. Schwarzkopf, M. H. England, A. Santoso, W. S. Kessler, A. Timmermann, C. W. Böning, 2014: ENSO driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119, 6221-6237. (Abstract) (Full text)

24. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. F. Stuecker, M. H. England, M. Merrifield, F.-F. Jin, Y. Chikamoto, 2014: Recent Walker Circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming, Nature Climate Change, 4, 888-892, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2330. (Abstract)

23. Simpkins, G. R., S. McGregor, A. S. Taschetto, L. M. Ciasto, M. H. England, 2014: Tropical connections to climatic change in the southern hemisphere extratropics: The role of Atlantic SST trends. Journal of Climate, 27, 4923-4936, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00615.1. (Abstract) (Full text)

22. England, M. H., S. McGregor, P. Spence, G. A. Meehl, A. Timmermann, W. Cai, A. Sen Gupta, M. J. McPhaden, A. Purich and A. Santoso, 2014: Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus, Nature Climate Change, 4, 222-227, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2106.

21. Widlanski, M. J., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M. F. Stuecker, W. Cai, 2014: An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa. Journal of Climate, 27, 1070–1081, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1 (Abstract) (Full text)

20. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. H. England, O. Elison Timm and A. T. Wittenberg, 2013: Inferred changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries. Climate of the Past , 9, 2269-2284, doi:10.5194/cp-9-2269-2013. (Abstract) (Full text).

19. Santoso, A., S. McGregor, F.-F. Jin, W. Cai, M. England, S.-I. An, M. McPhaden, and E. Guilyardi, 2013: Emergence of El Niño propagation asymmetry in recent decades and future implications. Nature 504, 126-130, doi:10.1038/nature12683. (Full text)

18. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, S. McGregor, H.-L. Ren, 2013: A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/NGEO1826.(Abstract) (Full text).

17. Aiken, C. M., A. Santoso, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2013: The 1970's shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective, Geophysical Research Letters (in press). (Abstract) (Full text).

16. McGregor, S., N. Ramesh, P. Spence, M. H. England, M. J. McPhaden and A. Santoso, 2013: Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination, Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1–6, doi:10.1002/grl.50136. (Abstract) (Full text).

15. Widlansky, M. J., A. Timmermann, K. Stein, S. McGregor, N. Schneider, M. H. England, M. Lengaigne, and W. Cai, 2012: Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate, Nature Climate Change doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1726 (Abstract) (Full text).

14. McGregor, S., A. Sen Gupta, and M. England, 2012: Constraining wind stress products with sea surface height observations and implications for Pacific Ocean sea-level trend attribution. Journal of Climate 25, 8164–8176, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00105.1 (Abstract) (Full text)

13. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, M. Stuecker, and M. England, 2012: The effect of the South Pacific Convergence Zone on the termination of El Niño events and the meridional asymmetry of ENSO, Journal of Climate, 25, 5566–5586, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00332.1 (Abstract)

12. Sen Gupta, A., A. Ganachaud, S. McGregor, J. N. Brown, and L. Muir, 2012: Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L09605, doi:10.1029/2012GL051447. (Abstract)

11. Tokinaga, H., S.-P. Xie, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, T. Ogata, H. Kubota and Y. M. Okumura, 2012: Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening. Journal of Climate, 25, 1689-1710. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00263.1. (Abstract)

10. Gergis,J., A. J. E. Gallant, K. Braganza, D. J. Karoly, K. Allen, L. Cullen, R. D’Arrigo, I. Goodwin, P. Grierson and S. McGregor, 2011: On the long-term context of the 1997–2009 ‘Big Dry’ in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction. Climatic Change, 1-22. doi.10.1007/s10584-011-0263-x. (Abstract) (Full text)

9. McGregor, S., and A. Timmermann, 2011: The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO, Journal of Climate, 24, 2178-2191. (Abstract)

8. Timmermann, A., S. McGregor and F. Jin, 2010: Wind effects on past and future regional sea-level trends in the southern Indo-Pacific, Journal of Climate, 23, 4429-4437. (Abstract)

7. Holbrook, N. J., I. D. Goodwin, S. McGregor, E. Molina and S. B. Power 2010: ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism, Deep Sea Research II, 58, 547-558. (Abstract)

6. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann and O. Timm, 2010: A unified proxy for ENSO variability since 1650. Climate of the Past, 6, 1-17. (Abstract) (Full text)

5. McGregor, S., A. Sen Gupta, N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2009: The Modulation of ENSO Variability in CCSM3 by Extratropical Rossby Waves, Journal of Climate, 22, 5839-5383. (Abstract)

4. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2009: The response of a stochastically forced ENSO model to observed off-equatorial wind-stress forcing. Journal of Climate, 22, 2512-2528. (Abstract)

3. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2008: Interdecadal sea surface temperature variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part II: the role of equatorial/offequatorial wind stresses in a hybrid coupled model. Journal of Climate, 21, 4242-4251. (Abstract)

2. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2007: Interdecadal sea surface temperature variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part I: the role o f off-equatorial wind stresses and oceanic Rossby waves. Journal of Climate, 20, 2643-2658. (Abstract)

1. McGregor, S., N. J. Holbrook and S. B. Power, 2004: On the dynamics of interdecadal thermocline depth and sea surface temperature variability in the low to mid-latitude Pacific Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, 10.1029/2004GL021241.

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